Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos – 11/18/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Chargers look to stay in the AFC West division race while building on their six-game winning streak. The Los Angeles Chargers have won two of their three true home games this season. Philip Rivers is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 2,459 yards, 21 touchdowns and four interceptions. Rivers has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last 10 games. Keenan Allen and Tyrell Williams have combined for 1,184 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Melvin Gordon has 36 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 127.1 yards per contest, and Gordon leads the way with 672 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 20.7 points and 356.6 yards per game. Derwin James leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 64 tackles, Melvin Ingram has 5.5 sacks and Desmond King has three interceptions.

The Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West, 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Los Angeles, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The Denver Broncos have had an extra week to prepare, and while the losses are getting out of hand, four of their six losses have been decided by seven or less points. The Los Angeles Chargers will play their first home game since Week 5 and four of their seven victories have come by double digits. The Denver Broncos are 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven games when an underdog of at least seven points. The Los Angeles Chargers have split their last 10 games ATS when a favorite of at least seven points. Four of the last five meetings between the Broncos and Chargers have been decided by eight or less points. Games between AFC West teams are usually tight, and you have to like getting a free touchdown with a rested team. However, I question how the Broncos are going to score enough to keep up with the Chargers. Rivers is playing really good football, and the Broncos have scored 20 or less points in five of their last eight games, and that was with Demaryius Thomas. I’ll eat the touchdown in a game the Chargers should cruise in.