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Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns – 10/14/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Los Angeles Chargers and the Cleveland Browns meet in week 6 NFL action from FirstEnergy Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Los Angeles Chargers will be looking to build some steam after back-to-back wins, following a 26-10 win over Oakland that pushed the Chargers to 3-2 this season. Philip Rivers has thrown for 1,495 yards, 13 touchdowns and 2 interceptions while Melvin Gordon III leads L.A. with 334 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Keenan Allen leads Los Angeles’ receiving corps with 32 catches for 372 yards while Gordon III, Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler each have 3 touchdown catches this season. Defensively, Derwin James leads the Chargers with 3 sacks and 24 tackles this season. As a team, San Diego is averaging the 7th-most total offense per game with 405.2 yards per game and the 8th-most points per game with 27.4 points per game this season.

Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns - 10/14/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Browns will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last four games following a 12-9 overtime win over Baltimore in their last outing. Baker Mayfield has thrown for 838 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 58.9% passing while Carlos Hyde has rushed for 348 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Jarvis Landry leads Cleveland’s receiving corps with 29 catches for 381 yards this season. Myles Garrett leads Cleveland’s defensive unit with 5 sacks while Denzel Ward has 3 interceptions and Damarious Randall has 2 picks and a team-high 22 tackles this season. As a team, Cleveland is averaging 376 yards of total offense per game, including the 2nd-most rushing yards per game with 144.6 per game in addition to 22.8 points per game this season. 

Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 week 6 matchups and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Cleveland is 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games against a team with a winning record and 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games while the under is 17-5 in their last 22 home games. Los Angeles is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

If you’re backing the Browns, with the line being so low, you’re taking Cleveland to win this game and I’m not sure that’s going to happen here. Sure, Cleveland winning more game this season than they had in the past two years combined is a nice story and no one is disputing that the Browns are going to be better than they have been for a while. However, the Chargers are simply the better team with the higher-powered offense. The Browns have been heavily reliant on the run, sitting 2nd in the league in rushing yardage and I think L.A.’s top-10 rush defense which is only allowing 95.6 yards per game cancels that out so with the advantage in the passing game I have to lay the point with the Chargers in this spot.

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